Horse and Horse Armor Economic Momizat VN Reviewed by on Jan 18. 4 signal Economic Vietnam T / S Al

Horse and Horse Armor Economic Momizat VN Reviewed by on Jan 18. 4 signal Economic Vietnam T / S Alan Phan 12.12.2013 (The article was published on Giap Ngo Xuan of Entrepreneurship published on 11 Jan 2014) After a night d 4 signal Economic Vietnam T / S Alan Phan 12.12.2013 anne burrell (The article was published on Giap Ngo Xuan of Entrepreneurship published on 11 Jan 2014) After a night dd Rating:
After a long winter nights, people are expecting and ready for a new spring. Tet Giap Ngo there is a beginning of recovery after a recession has lasted since 2009? Based on the experience of the world economy, recession cycle lasts an average of 5 years. So if we are a true market economy and the integration means, anne burrell many experts will conclude the end of 2014, we will see light glimmering end of the tunnel.
But Vietnam is always an exception to the many paradoxes. The economy is actually a mixture of pieces of bright, dark, unclear and badly affected the interests of small but powerful. Therefore, the predictions are often based on many assumptions and default, and personal sense of order of several interest groups, including the government. However, despite the rather peculiar personality, guess we can still capture the general trend in a direction based on the facts and conduct that occurred in the past year.
4 events in my opinion may be in cahoots of a new cycle in the coming 5 years. Hard to say one of two events may be the main thrust, because many very unbalanced relationship in the context of a permanent change of the world out there as well as the impact of social reactions anne burrell and domestic political anne burrell . Each of us can draw different conclusions from the original event and 4 may be true or false.
The highlight of the Vietnamese economy in the past 2 years is the back of the FDI investors. Many objective reasons: (a) increase the cost of production in China (b) impatient to open new markets in ASEAN as Myanmar, Laos, Kampuchea (c) promotion policy of the positive primary Government of Vietnam to look a little push new anti-degradation and (d) the local market remains much potential (e) degradation reduces the price of Vietnamese enterprises in many non-M & A and (f) policy anticipation TPP of South Korea, Taiwan and even China.
With a large investment anne burrell in the electronic assembly plant, Samsung Group accounts for more than $ 20 billion in exports, equivalent to more than 14% of the country's GDP. Many smaller FDI from Asian countries into Vietnam started looking for opportunities and results of operations will be present in the growth of FDI in the region for years to come.
FDI will bring practical benefits such as job creation for workers, improving the quality of management of Vietnamese entrepreneurs through competition, and can assist demand of securities and real estate portion. On the other hand, the increase in FDI would weaken Vietnamese enterprises (private and public) anne burrell and create a new dominant forces beyond the control of the government and interest groups present. Inherent high patriotism, the people of Vietnam can be profound discontent with the new dependence on "foreign capitalists". All adverse anne burrell political reaction will cause cash flow of FDI as a result anne burrell of change with a new recession.
This is a surprise event for economic planners Vietnam. The objective of the proposed TPP America is partly to prevent the expansion of the Chinese economy in East Asia. My almost no benefit in opening up its markets for Vietnam or vice versa, because 8 years of the WTO, Vietnam has benefited from trade surplus with the United States. anne burrell
However, the political strategy of the U.S. in East Asia, Vietnam wants to pull out of the influence of China closely, at least neutral in Vietnam want every American-Chinese anne burrell disputes. TPP is a gift economy to buy off this strategic alliance. Therefore, Vietnam anne burrell human rights anne burrell issues despite opposition Congress did not stop Vietnam's anne burrell entry into the TPP.
But a closer analysis, benefits from tariffs for garment, footwear, furniture ... may be neutralized by the economic loss to Vietnam for the competition of imported agricultural products, as well as tightening intellectual property rights in the IT industry.
One other positive point of TPP is the pressure of the U.S. trade union or association of the strike, as well as demands for the reform anne burrell of state-owned enterprises and the need for more transparency of institutions.
However, the overall look to see Vietnam's economy can not overcome the challenges to get rid of the current anne burrell recession. The consequence anne burrell would be a stagnant economy that lasts for decades, and over time, Vietnam will increasingly lose competitive advantage, especially for domestic enterprises. Two main factors have a negative outlook derail Vietnam's economic ship.
The new Constitution of Vietnam again determined resolve anne burrell of Vietnam leaders anne burrell "leading power" through economic survival and control c